Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2025.
Also on kalshi at 4¢(Δ -3¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
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sf trade 0x981e6f3ad9fb9baaf220590e5919c3436fdb7a7de4bddb55cbcc7dcfb4a2eb97 yes 100