What is the current probability for "Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 3¢ (3% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on October 31, 2026. 187 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 6319.3% and 6.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing October 31, 2026.

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3¢

Bid/Ask 3/3¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $6,786.269·OI $97,524.403·Closes Oct 31, 2026·187d remaining

0x99ff023a3b1149189fd0993f5a06b05b59e91d370df456c54db69bbd8875bf65

7-day price30 snapshots · 110 regime

3¢3¢ current

Apr 82¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6319.3%

IY (No) 6.0%

Adj IY 3160%

CRI 32

Overround -0.2%

LAS 0.00

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	6319.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	6.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3160%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.00	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.341

Spread

0¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 5:56:13 AM

Observability lowEvent type sports

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 5:53:07 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x99ff023a3b1149189fd0993f5a06b05b59e91d370df456c54db69bbd8875bf65 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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