Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Polymarket, closing June 3, 2026.

███░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
8¢
Bid/Ask 8/9¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $80.98·OI $19,104.76·Closes Jun 3, 2026·42d remaining
0xb86618f0e3e26d16e5abd848af319dd750dba3271684a2912268bb917a8f9953
7-day price35 snapshots · 6 regime
13¢8¢ current
Apr 83¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

The Gangwon Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Gangwon Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 9995.5%
IY (No) 75.6%
Adj IY 4998%
CRI 12
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)9995.5%
IY (No)75.6%
Adj IY4998%
CRI12

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:10:11 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:08:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb86618f0e3e26d16e5abd848af319dd750dba3271684a2912268bb917a8f9953 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions