Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
0xc45eb82393db7afff545c57a151f0cf6b872ca0e3b41a1bae4c17627f37c029b · closes Dec 31, 2026 · 259 days remaining
Price
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 401.0% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 49.5% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 3 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 7.1% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 1858% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 9.12 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 4.8/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 401% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
338 indicator snapshots · 5 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0xc45eb82393db7afff545c57a151f0cf6b872ca0e3b41a1bae4c17627f37c029b yes 100