Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?
0xfa9f1dbf7e8a0c35a97d71f69196d297fe8f07f8adeca81e2074636daab65329 · closes Dec 31, 2026 · 259 days remaining
Price
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 499.1% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 39.7% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 4 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 1.2% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 3402% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 12.63 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 4.0/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 499% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
373 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
About this market
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Calvin McDonald as CEO of Lululemon Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Lululemon. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Calvin McDonald as CEO of Lululemon Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Lululemon Inc.
How to trade
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