Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing June 7, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 2/4¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $20,429.62·Closes Jun 7, 2026·46d remaining
0xca83131929f53bb417dfbd8e67aa8bc0c38d40303dbdfa97601b1cb7bd7232b0
7-day price91 snapshots · 4 regime
12¢3¢ current
Apr 93¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 25571.9%
IY (No) 24.5%
Adj IY 12786%
CRI 32
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)25571.9%
IY (No)24.5%
Adj IY12786%
CRI32

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:23:56 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xca83131929f53bb417dfbd8e67aa8bc0c38d40303dbdfa97601b1cb7bd7232b0 yes 100

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