Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing May 31, 2026.
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3¢Bid/Ask 3/3¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $9,391.547·OI $46,537.137·Closes May 31, 2026·39d remaining
0xcfeec50a34d9429bfdc60d180f391b828924b88bd40c5b2361a43b7375b7a533
7-day price44 snapshots · 106 regime
6¢3¢ current
Apr 82¢Apr 19
Resolution rules
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:19 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM
Trade
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sf trade 0xcfeec50a34d9429bfdc60d180f391b828924b88bd40c5b2361a43b7375b7a533 yes 100