Simple Functions

Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2025.

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2¢
Bid/Ask 1/3¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $2,197.086·Closes Dec 31, 2025
0xec693cc00f6a53513d83c451866fbdd053083f009dd5dc0fd2f9d43b4637cbdc
7-day price6 snapshots
2¢2¢ current
Apr 91¢Apr 20
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78Close-time delta 8775h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 11:04:52 PM
Observability lowEvent type data_release

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xec693cc00f6a53513d83c451866fbdd053083f009dd5dc0fd2f9d43b4637cbdc yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →