Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing November 3, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 3/3¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $343.55·OI $18,078.328·Closes Nov 3, 2026·195d remaining
0xef25acd9423c7c1aeb1a85a2f2e295ce6bcee19abd84a8b99c7e84713434abf3
7-day price31 snapshots · 2 regime
4¢3¢ current
Apr 90¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6047.5%
IY (No) 5.8%
Adj IY 3024%
CRI 32
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)6047.5%
IY (No)5.8%
Adj IY3024%
CRI32
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:26 PM
Observability lowEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xef25acd9423c7c1aeb1a85a2f2e295ce6bcee19abd84a8b99c7e84713434abf3 yes 100

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