Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at $28,500-$30,500 in December?

Prediction markets currently give a 40% probability that Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at $28,500-$30,500 in December?. This contract trades at 40¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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40¢
Bid/Ask 4/76¢·Spread 72¢·Vol $0·OI $152.835·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xfe76f366b01cffc5f3c2551ca2fafd3626551f8e67c45e90bcb9980fadefb1d9
7-day price512 snapshots · 2 regime
46¢39¢ current
Apr 933¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Indicators

IY (Yes) 207.6%
IY (No) 100.3%
Adj IY 104%
CRI 1
Overround 2.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)207.6%
IY (No)100.3%
Adj IY104%
CRI1
Overround2.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
72¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:48:27 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xfe76f366b01cffc5f3c2551ca2fafd3626551f8e67c45e90bcb9980fadefb1d9 yes 100

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