Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing May 31, 2026. Delhi Capitals are priced at a historically depressed 6¢ with an extraordinary 12,991.8% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting severe mispricing or structural distress in the contract.
Analysis
Delhi Capitals are priced at a historically depressed 6¢ with an extraordinary 12,991.8% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting severe mispricing or structural distress in the contract. The sharp 40% price decline over seven days (from 10¢ to 6¢) combined with modest $75k daily volume and $4.9M open interest indicates thin liquidity that may be amplifying downward pressure. With 44 days until expiry and the IPL tournament itself concluding on the resolution date, the elevated cliff risk index of 16 warrants caution around late-stage resolution ambiguity.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Indian Premier League (IPL) T20 cricket competition is scheduled to take place from March 26 to May 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x02f714ae24b4eca3cd42a4eacbb3f1c9383c3ad754cac44df5c8cd28c739c0e1 yes 100