Will Iceman have at least 400,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Iceman?
Prediction markets currently give a 68% probability that Will Iceman have at least 400,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immedi.... This contract trades at 68¢ on Kalshi, closing December 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $174 open interest, making the 43¢ price potentially unreliable for decision-making.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $174 open interest, making the 43¢ price potentially unreliable for decision-making. The massive 434.1% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of low-liquidity mispricing rather than genuine market conviction, especially given the neutral regime score and flat 7-day price action. With 252 days until expiry and a moderate 16¢ spread, this market lacks sufficient trading activity to confidently assess whether Drake's "Iceman" will achieve 400,000 combined sales on its release week.
Resolution rules
If Iceman by Drake has at least 400,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Iceman, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSALES-ICE-ACT-400000 yes 100