What is the current probability for "BTC price up in next 15 mins?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 50¢ (50% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 21, 2026.

Where can I trade "BTC price up in next 15 mins?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

BTC price up in next 15 mins?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that BTC price up in next 15 mins?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Kalshi, closing April 21, 2026.

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50¢mid

Bid/Ask 0/100¢·Spread 100¢·Vol $228,400.73·OI $66,578.08·Closes Apr 21, 2026

KXBTC15M-26APR210915-15

Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EDT on Apr 21, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on April 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

100¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 8:14:23 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXBTC15M-26APR210915-15 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →