Doncaster vs Lincoln Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Doncaster vs Lincoln Winner?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 5, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 10¢ spread, suggesting virtually no trading activity on Kalshi.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 10¢ spread, suggesting virtually no trading activity on Kalshi. The implied yield figures (6063.6% for Yes, 829.5% for No) are artificially inflated due to the 0¢ price floor and lack of real market depth, making them unreliable indicators of true opportunity. With only 16 days until expiry and the match originally scheduled for April 21, 2026, there's significant cliff risk (index of 3) that the game could be postponed or rescheduled, potentially invalidating the current pricing structure entirely.
Resolution rules
If Doncaster wins the Doncaster vs Lincoln professional EFL League One soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEFLL1GAME-26APR21DRLIC-DR yes 100