Stevenage vs Barnsley Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Stevenage vs Barnsley Winner?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing May 5, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 9¢ spread and astronomical 11,781% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 9¢ spread and astronomical 11,781% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus. The contract has appreciated 4¢ in seven days and closes in just 16 days, creating cliff risk (score of 5) as the match approaches, though the neutral regime score indicates no clear directional bias. The heavily skewed yields and zero liquidity indicate this is likely a thin, potentially mispriced market where any actual trading could move prices dramatically.
Resolution rules
If Barnsley wins the Stevenage vs Barnsley professional EFL League One soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEFLL1GAME-26APR21STEBAR-BAR yes 100