Australia Nominal GDP in 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Australia Nominal GDP in 2026?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing April 1, 2027. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and zero open interest, making it effectively non-tradeable despite the extreme 3386% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and zero open interest, making it effectively non-tradeable despite the extreme 3386% implied yield on the Yes side. The 3¢ spread and stagnant 7-day price action at 3¢ suggest the market may be inactive or abandoned, with the astronomical yield likely reflecting the illiquidity rather than genuine pricing. With 349 days to expiry and a moderate 32 cliff risk index, this contract needs meaningful volume to become viable for prediction market participants.
Resolution rules
If Australia Nominal GDP is above $2.5 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGDPNOM-AUS26-2.5 yes 100