Will Coalition for Change win the next Georgian parliamentary election?
Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Will Coalition for Change win the next Georgian parliamentary election?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Kalshi, closing October 31, 2029. This market is severely illiquid with only $4.29 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 9¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market is severely illiquid with only $4.29 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 9¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The extreme 285.9% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the low price rather than genuine opportunity, while the 2¢ spread suggests minimal market maker confidence. With nearly 3.5 years until expiration and a neutral regime score, this appears to be a speculative position with minimal price discovery rather than an actively traded prediction market.
Resolution rules
If the winner of || Election || is || Candidate/Option ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGEORGIAPARLI-28OCT31-CCHA yes 100