Will Asiedu Nketia win the next Ghanaian presidential election?
Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Will Asiedu Nketia win the next Ghanaian presidential election?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2029. This is an extremely illiquid micro-market with only $48 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This is an extremely illiquid micro-market with only $48 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable. The 197.6% implied yield on the Yes side combined with a wide 6¢ spread suggests minimal conviction and possible mispricing, though the neutral regime score indicates no obvious directional bias. With over three years until expiry (12/31/2029), there's substantial time for fundamentals to shift, but the near-zero liquidity means any position would face significant slippage.
Resolution rules
If the winner of || Election || (expected to be held in || Year || at the latest) is || Candidate/Option ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGHANAPRES-28-ANKE yes 100