Will the gold close price be above 4685 USD/t.oz on Apr 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Prediction markets currently give a 73% probability that Will the gold close price be above 4685 USD/t.oz on Apr 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 73¢ on Kalshi, closing April 21, 2026.
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73¢Bid/Ask 31/53¢·Spread 22¢·Vol $1,622.21·OI $945.43·Closes Apr 21, 2026·0d remaining
KXGOLDD-26APR2117-T4685
7-day price211 snapshots · 2 regime
99¢38¢ current
Apr 2021¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on April 21, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above 4685 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (6)▼ Full indicator table (6)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | >100,000% |
| CRI | 3 |
| RV | 18122% |
| VR | 1.41 |
| IAR | 6.0/h |
| Overround | 6.5% |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
22¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:13:46 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXGOLDD-26APR2117-T4685 yes 100