Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Florida?
Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Florida?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and just $1,318 open interest, making the 955% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and just $1,318 open interest, making the 955% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 20¢ price reflects a modest 20% probability, but the wide 2¢ spread and stagnant price over seven days suggest minimal trader conviction or activity. With over 200 days until expiry and the 2026 Florida Democratic primary still in early formation, this contract appears to be a speculative placeholder rather than an efficiently-priced market.
Also on polymarket at 14¢(Δ +2¢)
Resolution rules
If Jerry Demings wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGOVFLNOMD-26-JDEM yes 100