Will the US government be shut down for at least 70 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 98% probability that Will the US government be shut down for at least 70 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 98¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.
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98¢Bid/Ask 98/99¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $67,531.87·OI $273,134.56·Closes Jan 1, 2027
KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G70
7-day price339 snapshots · 129 regime
98¢98¢ current
Apr 853¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the duration of the first US federal government shutdown between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026 due to a lapse of appropriations is at least 70 days, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:26:56 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G70 yes 100