2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

This market is pricing an extremely high probability (90%) for a specific album nomination with virtually no trading activity, suggesting the price may reflect stale information rather than active market consensus. The massive 397.8% implied yield on the "No" side combined with zero 24-hour volume and minimal $107 open interest indicates severe illiquidity, making the 90¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. With over 18 months until expiration and a modest 6 cliff risk index, there's substantial time for repricing, though the near-zero volume suggests this contract has attracted minimal trader interest despite the attractive asymmetric payoff structure.

Resolution rules

If Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally has been nominated for Album of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

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