Will the maximum temperature be <65° on Apr 21, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 45% probability that Will the maximum temperature be <65° on Apr 21, 2026?. This contract trades at 45¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.
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45¢Bid/Ask 44/49¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $8,121.58·OI $4,494.55·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining
KXHIGHTOKC-26APR21-T65
7-day price138 snapshots · 14 regime
69¢44¢ current
Apr 206¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Oklahoma City for Apr 21, 2026, is less than 65° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (7)▼ Full indicator table (7)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 75000% |
| CRI | 2 |
| RV | 3631% |
| VR | 0.80 |
| IAR | 4.8/h |
| Overround | -0.1% |
| LAS | 0.25 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 7:04:50 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 6:53:17 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXHIGHTOKC-26APR21-T65 yes 100