Will the S&P 500 be above 7074.9999 on Apr 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will the S&P 500 be above 7074.9999 on Apr 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing April 21, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 0/100¢·Spread 100¢·Vol $69,418.5·OI $19,683.46·Closes Apr 21, 2026·0d remaining
KXINXU-26APR21H1600-T7074.9999
7-day price143 snapshots · 4 regime
96¢5¢ current
Apr 205¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on April 21, 2026 is above 7074.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Adj IY 59790%
CRI 6
RV 9850%
VR 0.28
IAR 6.0/h
Overround 0.8%
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
Adj IY59790%
CRI6
RV9850%
VR0.28
IAR6.0/h
Overround0.8%
LAS0.36

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
100¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:15:56 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 7:53:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXINXU-26APR21H1600-T7074.9999 yes 100

Related concepts

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