Will the minimum temperature be >71° on Apr 21, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 54% probability that Will the minimum temperature be >71° on Apr 21, 2026?. This contract trades at 54¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.
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54¢Bid/Ask 48/54¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $3,021.74·OI $1,964.98·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining
KXLOWTMIA-26APR21-T71
7-day price100 snapshots · 11 regime
75¢48¢ current
Apr 207¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Apr 21, 2026, is greater than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (7)▼ Full indicator table (7)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 98150% |
| CRI | 1 |
| RV | 6777% |
| VR | 0.90 |
| IAR | 3.3/h |
| Overround | 0.0% |
| LAS | 0.02 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:48:06 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:38:18 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXLOWTMIA-26APR21-T71 yes 100