Who will win the next Malaysian general election?
Prediction markets currently give a 21% probability that Who will win the next Malaysian general election?. This contract trades at 21¢ on Kalshi, closing November 29, 2028. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $54 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 21¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $54 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 21¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 173.6% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high and likely reflects the thin liquidity rather than genuine opportunity, while the modest 1¢ spread masks execution risk in such a shallow market. With nearly 3 years until expiry and a neutral regime score, this appears to be a speculative contract awaiting more market participation before meaningful price discovery can occur.
Resolution rules
If the winner of the next Malaysian general election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is BN-anchored coalition, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMALAYSIAPARLI-2-27-BNA yes 100