What will the announcers say during Portland vs San Antonio Professional Basketball Game?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that What will the announcers say during Portland vs San Antonio Professional Basketball Game?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market shows extreme mispricing with a 14¢ price implying only 14% probability that announcers will say "GOAT" during a Portland-San Antonio game, yet the Yes side offers a staggering 10,570% implied yield—a massive disconnect suggesting severe undervaluation.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 6/9¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $236.96·OI $734·Closes May 6, 2026·14d remaining
KXNBAMENTION-26APR21PORSAS-GOAT
7-day price66 snapshots · 2 regime
40¢6¢ current
Apr 152¢Apr 21

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 14¢ price implying only 14% probability that announcers will say "GOAT" during a Portland-San Antonio game, yet the Yes side offers a staggering 10,570% implied yield—a massive disconnect suggesting severe undervaluation. The market exhibits dangerously low liquidity ($20 24h volume, $574 open interest) with a wide 9¢ spread and sky-high realized volatility of 1,387%, indicating highly unstable pricing and potential for sharp reversals as the May 6, 2026 expiration approaches in 17 days. The 7-day price surge from 2¢ to 17¢ combined with a cliff risk index of 5 suggests recent information arrival (0.4/h) has shifted sentiment, but the extreme yield asymmetry and thin order book make this a high-risk speculation rather than a fundamentally sound trade.

Resolution rules

If the play by play or color commentator(s) says GOAT as part of Portland vs San Antonio Professional Basketball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 40380.9%
IY (No) 164.5%
Adj IY 20190%
CRI 16
Overround 11.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)40380.9%
IY (No)164.5%
Adj IY20190%
CRI16
Overround11.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:13:53 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNBAMENTION-26APR21PORSAS-GOAT yes 100

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