Will Amen Thompson record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 53% probability that Will Amen Thompson record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?. This contract trades at 53¢ on Kalshi, closing July 7, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 7263% implied yield on Yes unreliable—the spread of 94¢ indicates virtually no real trading activity to establish a genuine probability.

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53¢mid
Bid/Ask 6/100¢·Spread 94¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jul 7, 2026·77d remaining
KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26-ATHO

Analysis

44h ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 7263% implied yield on Yes unreliable—the spread of 94¢ indicates virtually no real trading activity to establish a genuine probability. Amen Thompson, currently a promising young prospect, faces a high bar for recording even one triple-double in a single 2026 playoff game, which explains the minimal market interest, though the complete absence of liquidity means this price reflects no actual market consensus. With 79 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 16, this appears to be a speculative venue with insufficient participation to generate meaningful predictions.

Resolution rules

If Amen Thompson records at least 1 triple-double in any playoff game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 7439.1%
IY (No) 30.3%
Adj IY 3720%
CRI 16
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)7439.1%
IY (No)30.3%
Adj IY3720%
CRI16
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
94¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:17:34 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26-ATHO yes 100

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