Will Deni Avdija record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 52% probability that Will Deni Avdija record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?. This contract trades at 52¢ on Kalshi, closing July 7, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 97¢ spread unreliable indicators of true probability.

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52¢mid
Bid/Ask 3/100¢·Spread 97¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jul 7, 2026·77d remaining
KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26-DAVD

Analysis

47h ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 97¢ spread unreliable indicators of true probability. The astronomical 14,969.5% implied yield on Yes contracts reflects the pricing dysfunction rather than genuine market consensus—at such low liquidity, even minimal trading could dramatically shift prices. With 79 days to expiry and a moderate cliff risk index of 32, this appears to be an abandoned or newly-listed contract awaiting price discovery, so caution is warranted before treating the current quote as meaningful.

Resolution rules

If Deni Avdija records at least 1 triple-double in any playoff game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 15353.0%
IY (No) 14.7%
Adj IY 7676%
CRI 32
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)15353.0%
IY (No)14.7%
Adj IY7676%
CRI32
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
97¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:17:44 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26-DAVD yes 100

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