Will James Harden record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that Will James Harden record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?. This contract trades at 28¢ on Kalshi, closing July 7, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable—the 94¢ spread indicates no meaningful bids or offers exist.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable—the 94¢ spread indicates no meaningful bids or offers exist. The astronomical 8757.2% implied yield on Yes contracts suggests the market is severely mispriced rather than reflecting genuine belief that Harden won't record a triple-double in the 2026 playoffs, especially given his career history of frequent triple-doubles. With 79 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 19, this appears to be a dead market that hasn't attracted traders, so any position taken would face severe execution challenges.
Resolution rules
If James Harden records at least 1 triple-double in any playoff game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26-JAHAR yes 100