Game 2: Los Angeles at Colorado Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that Game 2: Los Angeles at Colorado Winner?. This contract trades at 30¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market exhibits extreme yield metrics (4681.7% implied yield on Yes) paired with minimal liquidity ($621.20 open interest, $569.87 daily volume), suggesting the 37¢ price may reflect thin-market distortion rather than genuine probability assessment.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme yield metrics (4681.7% implied yield on Yes) paired with minimal liquidity ($621.20 open interest, $569.87 daily volume), suggesting the 37¢ price may reflect thin-market distortion rather than genuine probability assessment. The sharp 7-day rally from 11¢ to 32¢ combined with exceptionally high realized volatility (1459%) and a Cliff Risk Index of 2 indicates this contract has experienced significant repricing, possibly driven by limited order flow or late-arriving information about the April 21, 2026 matchup. With 17 days to expiry and only 3.2 information arrivals per hour, the market remains relatively quiet, making the current price vulnerable to sudden moves if meaningful news emerges.
Resolution rules
If LA Kings wins the Game 2: Los Angeles at Colorado professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR21LACOL-LA yes 100