Will there be over 6.5 total games in the Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 39% probability that Will there be over 6.5 total games in the Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playo.... This contract trades at 39¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a 34¢ spread, suggesting the 0¢ Yes price may not reflect genuine market consensus but rather a pricing artifact on a thinly-traded contract.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a 34¢ spread, suggesting the 0¢ Yes price may not reflect genuine market consensus but rather a pricing artifact on a thinly-traded contract. The astronomical 4,881% implied yield on Yes positions indicates the market is pricing in an extremely low probability of a seven-game series, though NHL first-round matchups historically go to Game 7 roughly 25-30% of the time, suggesting potential mispricing. With 28 days to expiry and a recent 8¢ price movement upward, this contract lacks sufficient liquidity to trade meaningfully, and the Cliff Risk Index of 4 signals elevated uncertainty near resolution.
Resolution rules
If above 6.5 games are played in the Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26UTAVGKR1-7 yes 100