Will Edmonton Oilers win 4-2 in the Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 21% probability that Will Edmonton Oilers win 4-2 in the Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 21¢ on Kalshi, closing May 19, 2026. This market displays extreme yield asymmetry with a 6117.6% implied yield on Yes contracts versus 256.6% on No, suggesting severe mispricing or structural illiquidity issues typical of low-volume niche sports betting.
Analysis
This market displays extreme yield asymmetry with a 6117.6% implied yield on Yes contracts versus 256.6% on No, suggesting severe mispricing or structural illiquidity issues typical of low-volume niche sports betting. The 19¢ price has risen 70% over seven days (from 10¢ to 17¢) on minimal volume ($269 in 24 hours), indicating thin liquidity and potential manipulation risk with only $436.68 open interest. With 29 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 5, this market carries substantial execution risk and should be approached cautiously despite the superficially attractive odds.
Resolution rules
If the series score is Edmonton Oilers wins 4-2 in the Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26ANAEDMR1-EDM42 yes 100