Will Dallas Stars win 4-2 in the Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 27% probability that Will Dallas Stars win 4-2 in the Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 27¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market is effectively dead with zero volume, zero open interest, and a 98¢ spread indicating no active liquidity on either side.

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27¢
Bid/Ask 10/26¢·Spread 16¢·Vol $67.96·OI $7,883.58·Closes May 16, 2026·25d remaining
KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MINDALR1-DAL42
7-day price125 snapshots · 52 regime
18¢10¢ current
Apr 173¢Apr 21

Analysis

5d ago

This market is effectively dead with zero volume, zero open interest, and a 98¢ spread indicating no active liquidity on either side. The 0¢ price suggests the market maker has assigned negligible probability to a Dallas 4-2 series victory, though with no trading activity it's unclear whether this reflects genuine market consensus or simply reflects the contract's illiquidity and distance to expiration (May 2026). Given the extremely narrow specificity of the outcome (one exact series result among many possible 4-2, 4-1, 4-0 scenarios), minimal trading interest is unsurprising for a niche playoff prediction this far in advance.

Resolution rules

If the series score is Dallas Stars wins 4-2 in the Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 13110.1%
IY (No) 161.9%
Adj IY 13110%
CRI 9
RV 2949%
VR 1.38
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)13110.1%
IY (No)161.9%
Adj IY13110%
CRI9
RV2949%
VR1.38
IAR0.9/h
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
16¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:18:14 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MINDALR1-DAL42 yes 100

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