Will Ottawa Senators win 4-3 in the Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Will Ottawa Senators win 4-3 in the Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 18¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market displays extreme illiquidity with only $25 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a dangerously wide 7¢ spread and inflated yield metrics that are unreliable indicators of true opportunity.

███████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
18¢
Bid/Ask 4/28¢·Spread 24¢·Vol $5·OI $325.68·Closes May 16, 2026·25d remaining
KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26OTTCARR1-OTT43
7-day price38 snapshots · 3 regime
17¢4¢ current
Apr 164¢Apr 21

Analysis

4d ago

This market displays extreme illiquidity with only $25 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a dangerously wide 7¢ spread and inflated yield metrics that are unreliable indicators of true opportunity. The price has collapsed 47% over seven days (from 9¢ to 17¢), suggesting either deteriorating sentiment on an Ottawa 4-3 series win or minimal trading activity driving erratic movement. With a Cliff Risk Index of 10 and just 30 days to expiry, this contract carries substantial execution risk and should be approached with extreme caution given the illiquidity and potential for sharp repricing.

Resolution rules

If the series score is Ottawa Senators wins 4-3 in the Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 35121.5%
IY (No) 61.0%
Adj IY 17561%
CRI 24
Overround -0.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)35121.5%
IY (No)61.0%
Adj IY17561%
CRI24
Overround-0.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
24¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:38:09 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:23:19 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26OTTCARR1-OTT43 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions