Will Edmonton Oilers cover -1.5 games in the Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 53% probability that Will Edmonton Oilers cover -1.5 games in the Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 53¢ on Kalshi, closing May 19, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $40 in 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 46¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $40 in 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 46¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The astronomical implied yield of 1,369% on the Yes side signals either severe mispricing or that the market lacks sufficient capital to establish a fair price, compounded by a wide 9¢ spread that suggests significant uncertainty among the few participants. With 31 days to expiry and a neutral regime score, this contract is too thin to trade meaningfully, though the Oilers as favorites against Anaheim makes the sub-50% probability counterintuitive if this were a liquid, well-informed market.
Resolution rules
If Edmonton Oilers wins by more than 1.5 games in the Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26ANAEDMR1-EDM2 yes 100