Will Carolina Hurricanes cover -1.5 games in the Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?

Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will Carolina Hurricanes cover -1.5 games in the Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes 1st Round series in the 2026.... This contract trades at 50¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. The Carolina Hurricanes covering -1.5 games against Ottawa is priced at 49¢, implying nearly even odds despite the Hurricanes being favored, though the extraordinarily high implied yield of 1,910.6% on the Yes side suggests severe illiquidity with only $65.24 in 24-hour volume and open interest.

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50¢
Bid/Ask 73/88¢·Spread 15¢·Vol $523.61·OI $719.76·Closes May 16, 2026·25d remaining
KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26OTTCARR1-CAR2
7-day price64 snapshots · 8 regime
73¢73¢ current
Apr 1622¢Apr 21

Analysis

4d ago

The Carolina Hurricanes covering -1.5 games against Ottawa is priced at 49¢, implying nearly even odds despite the Hurricanes being favored, though the extraordinarily high implied yield of 1,910.6% on the Yes side suggests severe illiquidity with only $65.24 in 24-hour volume and open interest. The 9¢ spread is notably wide relative to the contract price, and with 30 days until expiry and a neutral regime score, this market appears thinly traded with minimal price discovery—the modest 2¢ upward movement over seven days reflects the low activity level rather than meaningful directional conviction.

Resolution rules

If Carolina Hurricanes wins by more than 1.5 games in the Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 537.4%
IY (No) 3928.7%
Adj IY 3929%
CRI 3
RV 642%
VR 2.27
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)537.4%
IY (No)3928.7%
Adj IY3929%
CRI3
RV642%
VR2.27
IAR1.2/h
Overround0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
15¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:22:37 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26OTTCARR1-CAR2 yes 100

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