Will Utah Mammoth cover -1.5 games in the Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will Utah Mammoth cover -1.5 games in the Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playo.... This contract trades at 14¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 5037% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 5037% implied yield on the Yes side. The 13¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the price level, and the 4/5 Cliff Risk Index suggests significant resolution uncertainty—likely because the Utah Mammoth franchise doesn't currently exist in the NHL, creating fundamental ambiguity about whether this event can even occur. With 31 days to expiry and no trading activity, this appears to be a speculative or test market with minimal real capital at risk.
Resolution rules
If Utah Mammoth wins by more than 1.5 games in the Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26UTAVGKR1-UTA2 yes 100