Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 1040 total customers in Q1 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 15¢ (15% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 3, 2026. 34 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 1040 total customers in Q1 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 8592.6% and 131.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 1040 total customers in Q1 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	8592.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	131.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4687%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	8	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	722%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.61	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.3/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	2.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.45	Liquidity Availability Score

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 1040 total customers in Q1 2026?

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions