Will Eunice Lehmacher be the Democratic nominee for SC-03?
Prediction markets currently give a 72% probability that Will Eunice Lehmacher be the Democratic nominee for SC-03?. This contract trades at 72¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in Lehmacher's nomination prospects.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in Lehmacher's nomination prospects. The 0¢ price reflects near-zero conviction she'll win the Democratic nomination for SC-03, though the unusually high implied yield on the "No" side (110.4%) indicates the spread may be artificially wide due to lack of liquidity rather than genuine uncertainty. With 563 days until the November 2027 close and a neutral regime score, this appears to be a speculative long-shot market with insufficient trading activity to establish reliable pricing.
Resolution rules
If Eunice Lehmacher wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 SC-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXSCPRIMARY-03D26-ELEH yes 100