Will Brandon Brown be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in South Carolina?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Brandon Brown be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in South Carolina?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026. This is an extremely illiquid micro-market with just $56 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This is an extremely illiquid micro-market with just $56 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The astronomical 4366% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the minimal capital required to move prices in such thin conditions rather than genuine probability assessment. With 201 days to expiration and a high cliff risk index of 24, this market carries substantial execution risk and should be approached with caution by all but the most speculative traders.
Resolution rules
If Brandon Brown wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate South Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXSENATESCD-26-BBRO yes 100