Will SpaceX be added to the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Will SpaceX be added to the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Kalshi, closing July 1, 2026.
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2¢Bid/Ask 2/8¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $470.43·OI $4,354.69·Closes Jul 1, 2026
KXSP500ADDQ-26JUL01-SPAC
7-day price18 snapshots · 24 regime
5¢2¢ current
Apr 81¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If SpaceX is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during April 1, 2026 to June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:18:02 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXSP500ADDQ-26JUL01-SPAC yes 100