Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped.... This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market exhibits extreme mispricing with a 4574% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 3¢ price significantly undervalues the probability of a Netflix soundtrack achieving the #1 global album position on Spotify Wrapped 2026.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme mispricing with a 4574% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 3¢ price significantly undervalues the probability of a Netflix soundtrack achieving the #1 global album position on Spotify Wrapped 2026. The near-zero 24-hour volume and modest $1,564 open interest indicate severe illiquidity, making the quoted spread potentially unreliable and creating execution risk for any meaningful position. With 258 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 32, the market has adequate time for resolution but the neutral regime and extremely lopsided yield structure suggest this may be a mispriced niche market with limited participant interest rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
Resolution rules
If KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) by KPop Demon Hunters Cast, HUNTR/X, Saja Boys is the #1 most streamed Album on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPALBUMSPOTIFY-26-KPO yes 100