Will ARIRANG be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will ARIRANG be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that.... This contract trades at 50¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and zero open interest, making it effectively illiquid despite the wide 11¢ spread and unusually high implied yields (130.5% for Yes, 153.1% for No).
Analysis
This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and zero open interest, making it effectively illiquid despite the wide 11¢ spread and unusually high implied yields (130.5% for Yes, 153.1% for No). The 0¢ price suggests minimal market confidence in ARIRANG achieving the #2 spot on 2026 Spotify Wrapped, a highly specific outcome requiring both the album's release and extraordinary streaming performance within a narrow timeframe. With 258 days to expiration and no recent price movement from the 52¢ level, this appears to be a niche prediction with insufficient trader interest to establish meaningful price discovery.
Resolution rules
If ARIRANG is the #2 most streamed Album on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPALBUMSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-ARI yes 100