Will DeBi TiRAR MÁs FOToS be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will DeBi TiRAR MÁs FOToS be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on .... This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme mispricing with a 2686.6% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 14¢ price significantly undervalues the probability of this specific album ranking #2 globally—a notably high bar that requires both massive streaming volume and precise placement.
Analysis
This market shows extreme mispricing with a 2686.6% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 14¢ price significantly undervalues the probability of this specific album ranking #2 globally—a notably high bar that requires both massive streaming volume and precise placement. The $1,153 open interest against just $2 in 24-hour volume indicates severe illiquidity and potential difficulty exiting positions, while the 9¢ spread (64% of mid-price) further reflects thin order books typical of niche entertainment prediction markets. With 258 days to expiry and no recent price movement, this appears to be a speculative long-tail bet with substantial cliff risk (19/100), making it suitable only for contrarian traders comfortable with illiquid, binary outcomes.
Resolution rules
If DeBi TiRAR MÁs FOToS is the #2 most streamed Album on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPALBUMSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-DEB yes 100