Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albu.... This contract trades at 11¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 3392% implied yield on the Yes side.

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11¢mid
Bid/Ask 4/18¢·Spread 14¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
KXTOPALBUMSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-YOUS

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 3392% implied yield on the Yes side. The 15¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price floor, and the 24 Cliff Risk Index suggests significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics or the album's release/eligibility status. With 258 days to expiry, this appears to be a speculative position on an album that may not yet exist or have confirmed 2026 release plans, warranting extreme caution on any position given the illiquidity and binary outcome risk.

Resolution rules

If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love is the #2 most streamed Album on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3457.4%
IY (No) 6.0%
Adj IY 1729%
CRI 24
Overround -0.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3457.4%
IY (No)6.0%
Adj IY1729%
CRI24
Overround-0.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
14¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:19:16 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXTOPALBUMSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-YOUS yes 100

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