Will So Close To What be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will So Close To What be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date .... This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $109 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $109 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The implied yield of 3393% on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and suggests minimal conviction from traders, likely reflecting the inherent difficulty of predicting which specific album will top Spotify's 2026 Wrapped chart nearly nine months out. The recent price movement from 1¢ to 4¢ over seven days indicates some modest shift in sentiment, but the negligible liquidity means even small trades could move the price significantly.
Resolution rules
If So Close To What is the #1 most streamed Album on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPALBUMSPOTIFYUSA-26-TAT yes 100