Will Bad Bunny be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 21% probability that Will Bad Bunny be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date t.... This contract trades at 21¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $655 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 24¢ price potentially unreliable for positioning.
Analysis
This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $655 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 24¢ price potentially unreliable for positioning. The 531.9% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high and suggests significant mispricing, though the low volume raises questions about whether this reflects genuine market consensus or just illiquidity-driven distortion. Bad Bunny's recent price decline from 24¢ to 21¢ over seven days combined with the neutral regime and moderate cliff risk (4/10) suggests cautious sentiment, but traders should demand substantial liquidity before committing capital to this illiquid contract.
Resolution rules
If Bad Bunny is the #3 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPARTISTTHIRD-26-BAD yes 100