Will Soda Pop be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Soda Pop be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that .... This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market is severely illiquid with only $93 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market is severely illiquid with only $93 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The extreme implied yield of 3,392% on the Yes side signals either a mispriced long-shot bet or minimal market conviction, while the 24 Cliff Risk Index suggests meaningful uncertainty around resolution mechanics. With 258 days to expiry, the market has adequate time for "Soda Pop" to accumulate streaming volume, but the negligible liquidity makes this more of a novelty position than a tradeable market.
Resolution rules
If Soda Pop is the #2 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPSONGSPOTIFYRUNNERUP-26-SOD yes 100