What is the current probability for "Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 11¢ (11% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2026.

Where can I trade "Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 11¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.

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11¢

Bid/Ask 2/11¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $59.96·OI $3,783.08·Closes Dec 31, 2026

KXUFCWELTERWEIGHTTITLE-26-IGAR

7-day price30 snapshots

11¢2¢ current

Apr 81¢Apr 21

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at 11¢(Δ 0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94IY 1167.3%Close-time delta 17h

Resolution rules

If Ian Machado Garry is the UFC Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.432

Spread

9¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 12:38:10 AM

Observability mediumEvent type sports

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXUFCWELTERWEIGHTTITLE-26-IGAR yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →